Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.471819 0.549051 0.634533 0.736108 0.853471 0.984776 1.142796
2025-03-02 0.337977 0.439323 0.563902 0.728058 0.938468 1.198928 1.545712
2025-03-09 0.268480 0.377723 0.522434 0.727648 1.010696 1.386901 1.924547
2025-03-16 0.214407 0.321962 0.473465 0.701633 1.035757 1.506294 2.218514
2025-03-23 0.194655 0.309033 0.478805 0.747907 1.162482 1.775564 2.749603
2025-03-30 0.163551 0.273238 0.444029 0.727688 1.185342 1.892836 3.067306
2025-04-06 0.138137 0.241880 0.410688 0.703327 1.195863 1.988773 3.358787
2025-04-13 0.117996 0.215862 0.381763 0.681046 1.204894 2.080418 3.650117
2025-04-20 0.106115 0.202157 0.371253 0.687714 1.261987 2.255427 4.097974
2025-04-27 0.100345 0.198493 0.377465 0.723993 1.374136 2.535100 4.756628
2025-05-04 0.093221 0.191181 0.375921 0.745448 1.461173 2.778538 5.375428
2025-05-11 0.085300 0.181139 0.367833 0.753149 1.522638 2.980697 5.937980
2025-05-18 0.077011 0.169440 0.355517 0.751966 1.568608 3.162140 6.488554
2025-05-25 0.069060 0.157361 0.340995 0.744676 1.601938 3.323649 7.020454
2025-06-01 0.062759 0.147895 0.330548 0.744298 1.648926 3.516475 7.635785
2025-06-08 0.055068 0.134177 0.309226 0.717705 1.636921 3.586872 8.003611
2025-06-15 0.053929 0.135409 0.320775 0.765012 1.790829 4.020458 9.191849
2025-06-22 0.048036 0.124454 0.303406 0.744341 1.790236 4.121615 9.663670
2025-06-29 0.042579 0.113762 0.285251 0.719437 1.776706 4.192236 10.073752
2025-07-06 0.037894 0.104332 0.268878 0.696658 1.765257 4.265814 10.497751
2025-07-13 0.035349 0.100115 0.264736 0.703475 1.825971 4.512134 11.353909
2025-07-20 0.034558 0.100494 0.272204 0.740564 1.965843 4.959723 12.741140
2025-07-27 0.033047 0.098670 0.273757 0.762497 2.069798 5.331041 13.979649